Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Michael Nelson re I4J


Michael Nelson was one of the more sober commentators about how many (or how few) jobs might be expected from our current innovative paths.  The YouTube video of an interview he did on the side for Martin Wasserman is here
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MOEziCJCkzQ 

Unfortunately, the interviewer got excited about "Could Technology" rather than the provocative comments of Nelson at the conference.  Nonetheless, this is still a good interview.  

Published on Apr 25, 2013, Michael Nelson, Technology Policy Analyst for Bloomberg Government, former Director of Internet Technology at IBM, and Special Assistant for Information Technology at the White House, interviewed at the Innovation for Jobs Summit

Future Talk 41-2 from I4J

I promised in an earlier blog to put forward some of the Innovation for Jobs (I4J) conference materials when they were cleared.

Several are now on YouTube, under the heading "Future Talk 41-X"

Check out Future Talk 41-2, for example at   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xtd9KWiaHFk

This one features several short interviews from the I4J Summit, including Internet pioneer Vint Cerf, Qualcomm founder Irwin Jacobs, Swedish politician Sven Littorin and educational innovator Esther Wojcicki.  I especially like Vint Cerf's where he explains "why" the conference, and "who" was invited, and what he hoped would emerge.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

INTRAPRENEURING

I've written several times in InnovaScapes Institute (ISI) posts about Intrapreneuring.  We're (Ray Price and me) preparing an ISI website, and our first thoughts, naturally, are to make sure that our Intrapreneuring expertise and enthusiasm is featured.  To that end, the blog at intrapreneuringinnovation.blogspot.com carries posts occasionally, and in particular, this morning I posted both our Mission statement, beliefs, and approach in this regard.

It mentions, of course, our HP book, but doesn't mention Ray's Serial Innovators (Stanford, 2012) which includes deep analysis of individuals at a variety of companies, notably including Proctor and Gamble, nor does it cover our work at Motorola , Boeing, Agilent or Apple, to name a few others.  And it doesn't reference my "Permission Denied" which is one of very few 'first-person accounts' by an entrepreneur.

The question for our website developer has been, "Is this Intrapreneuring topic all that InnovaScapes Institute is about?"      The answer is NO, but in some respects, to list other arenas is to defocus the message.  As a consequence, he is a bit mystified, and I find myself having to explain my eclectic approach to life all over again.  Those of you who know me won't find this surprising -- it must go back to that Caltech 'training' -- tackle the interesting questions, never mind the silos and the walled-in feeling

So, yes, INTRAPRENEURING is a passion, and a big one at that.  But it properly can be thought of as a "division', not the company.  HP did voltmeters and logic analyzers, and in a curious way, the voltmeters gave rise to the world's largest computer company.  The tremendously successful InkJet printers owe their existence to the Gallium Arsenide microwave transistors built for 1GHz satellite communications.  In the same vein, we believe that Intrapreneuring topics can reside comfortably alongside issues of Privacy and Networked Systems, or even COPD causal agents that are discovered and traced via Computer Graphical 'big data' plots.

Stay tuned....

IST Caltech

I've been fortunate over the past couple of years, to be a "guest" member of IST at Caltech, an umbrella group for Information Science and Technology in the Engineering and Applied Science (EAS).  EAS comprises some seven departments (Aerospace, Applied Physics and Materials Science, Bioengineering, Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Electrical Engineering, Environmental Science and Engineering, and Mechanical and Civil Engineering)  if I have them right.  IST is an umbrella for multi-disciplinary programs composed of EE and CMS.  Ares Rosakis is EAS chair; their mission is: "Working at the edges of fundamental science to invent the technologies of the future."

Gordon Moore, a major Caltech benefactor, has a great quote that explains his enthusiasm for IST at Tech:  "So many important things come out by taking experts in disparate fields and bringing them together.  I watch other universities try artificially to stimulate this interdisciplinary work, and it is very hard to do, while it just happens naturally at Caltech.  The big research universities can't do the science that falls between these boundaries anywhere near as well as Caltech."  Moore's foundation funded six initiatives over the past decade; in some sense, we were sitting in review of those accomplishments.

IST is 'advised' by a Council of sixteen eminent folk, many of them Caltech trustees.  In addition, it has a rotating "Guest" group of another fourteen, some of them also Trustees.  Each group is a star-studded collection -- to be included is quite a privilege (and I am imagining that they are seriously seeking advice rather than just donations).  One nagging question for IST is "what is the 'offical' standing of this umbrella group?  The answer seemed to me to be a bit fuzzy during the day, but ....

Why should you care about IST?  Well, maybe the Mission Statement will be inspiring:  "The IST initiative seeks to expand the power and cross-disciplinary impact of information science and technology.  Targeting transformative contributions to science, medicine, and society, IST endeavors to lay out the theoretic, algorithmic, and physical underpinnings of information and computations."

Actually, that is a bit wordy, and in many respect, perhaps just platitude.  But as I listened to the outline of several historic initiatives, and the proposed set of current goals, I found myself getting more engaged, more enthused, and even caught up in the excitement of it all.  I will outline a few of the initiatives in subsequent posts, but for now I'll just note that they seem to coalesce some of the issues that I find persuasive in terms of where our society needs help.

1.  Privacy and Incentives in Networked Systems, where they rightly note that our society increasingly depends upon the power grid, cloud services, and stable financial markets, each element of which feels increasingly brittle and prone to catastrophic factors -- and at the same time, most of these advances are at odds with societal norms and beliefs in individual privacy (especially in a democratic society) .

2.  Something as prosaic as Logic Model Checking, something that I worked on for years at HP, Veritas, CenterLine, Spectron, and Applied Microsystems.  Static source code analyzers were invaluable for much high-quality software development in the 1980s and 1990s; missions like the JPL Curiosity rover for Mars, though, or the Boeing Dreamliner, cannot afford the low specificity of these historic tools for code as complex as we now use for safety critical embedded systems.

3. This appealed to me, thinking about the COPD initiative for ISI.  "The Mathematics of Big Data" according to a proposed IST initiative would tackle the question of 'data driven analysis of complex systems' with the goal of Optimal Uncertainty Quantification (gawd, did they really say that?)
The point was that non-stationary, non-linear data isn't easily usable for provable correct inferences, due to sparsity, conventional options, and that classic bugaboo, hidden variables.  Moreover, 'big data' is not taught, it is barely understood, and it seems increasingly the best way to deal with large-scale situations.

In many ways, these kinds of issues are a great foil for InnovaScapes Institute.  ISI seeks also to have transformative impact (who doesn't?), using small crackerjack teams of cross-disciplinary folk, on questions of science, medicine, and society.  ISI includes a more focused inquiry and belief in the role and value of business enterprises than is evident in the IST Mission -- these folk are "pure" researchers, untainted (as was carefully explained to me in a sidebar) by 'taking sides' or 'seeking application method'.  They explain their role as "discovering, documenting, and establishing the science" while leaving the transmission and transformative impact of their work to others.

Encouraging -- worth the day.




Thursday, April 18, 2013

Day 2 of UIDP

This is one of those conferences where so many things happen in parallel that you feel somewhat conflicted -- what am I missing?  I chose to attend Deborah Radasch's "Project Management" workshop for the morning, where the chief topics were how to improve the interaction between universities and industry once a project exists.

The sessions had key folk from Boeing, Deere, Intel, Cisco, IBM, Agilent, Dow, DuPont, Pfizer, Weyerhauser, and many others.  The consistent theme was that this is a major cultural mismatch, with radically different reward systems as well as goals, for most situations.  The fact that anything useful emerges seemed at times to be remarkable.

The groups with the 'best track record' (or at least the best report to this group) invariably had some "translators" on the teams, folk with both academic and industry leadership history, who could intercept misunderstandings and translate them for the dichotomous groups trying to find common ground.  How this happens and what to do to facilitate it, occupied part of the discussion but the laundry list of issues seemed to dwarf this particular point of view.

A second and somewhat less prominent theme, but one that I think had great merit for discussion, concerned "big science" vs. smaller projects.  Everyone was of the mood that we're talking the smaller things here in UIDP, and most seemed okay with that.  But when the other surfaced, it seemed to be like a giant hairball -- ugly, unbounded, even less tractable.  And yes, some of the needs seem greatest there.  Classic conundrum.

We reached no answers, but today's sessions might be more actionable.  The discussions did seem cathartic for many, and perhaps we'll leave here with some useful next steps.

JPL visit

Our NAE group -- three busloads strong -- showed up at Caltech's Jet Propulsion Lab yesterday afternoon, for a three hour film and discussion forum, plus a tour of their small but highly energized museum.   The films were great, the speakers energized, the mood of the place electric.

What a treat! This is without parallel in the world for its study of the universe.  Given that Stephen Hawking talked the night before at Caltech, focused on "dark matter" and "dark energy" as the 95% of what we don't know about in the universe, the relatively technical nature of the JPL visit was solid and concrete and very graspable for a lay person (at least, so I imagined).

I did not have much awareness of the Caltech / JPL inquiry into our own earth, mapping such things as the drop in ground level in the central San Joaquin Valley due to aquifer depletion.  Seven feet of sinkage for tens of square miles between Fresno and Visalia over a twelve year period 2000-2011.  My sister-in-law lives just east of all of this, and her anecdotal stories have been concerning, but this is graphic, datum-driven, and worrisome to say the least.

Another dynamic demonstration is the polar icecap covereage over the past decade, day by day, for a decade.  You don't believe in Global Warming?  Come take a look.

The Curiosity rover on Mars, though, was the big hit.  Actually, all of the Mars trips.  I had little idea how many failed missions there were, by both the Russians and the US, and some of the difficulties.  The "bouncing beach ball" lander for the first Mars rover was really great to see the depiction -- in the 'thin' Martian atmosphere and gravity, the beach ball holding a two-foot to a side rover was some twenty feet tall.  It bounced ten stories high multiple times before coming to rest with its safe cargo.

Discovering water on the planet was of course the excitement for Curiosity, but lots of other findings are truly important as well.  The litany of scientific discoveries and challenges, though, is what really impressed me -- the range of creative attempts and solution proposals was edifying to say the least.

As we left JPL (incidentally, they never ever did any research with "Jet Propulsion" but the name sounded safer than "Rockets" in 1958), the feeling of all of us was one of rare privilege.


Wednesday, April 17, 2013

can you spell LOGARITHM

I have asked some twenty-five audiences at Business Schools in the past several years about semi-logarithmic plots.  It is akin to asking if you enjoy having palsy.  I've had as many as two hands go up almost always they were undergraduate biology majors.

Since the most telling story about stock market valuations getting out of whack with company fundamentals is plotting when the company's growth rate changes, I find this lack of knowledge of what Einstein termed the "eighth wonder of the world" incredibly troubling.

Imagine my delight yesterday during the UIDP talk to ask and find that at least one-third of the audience raised their hand.  This is a collection of more than fifty people in one room knowing about such an esoteric topic as how to point compound interest.  Amazing.

I've shared earlier that Microsoft's Instructor Guide has a paragraph (in 1,092 pages) devoted to semi-log plots, saying that "this is very important for business applications" but then fails to show a picture or even the tab for how to invoke the function.  

Slide rules, of course, are based on logarithmic geometry; scientific calculators make this a trivial step.  How come this isn't de rigeour?

Dream on, Charlie.  If folk could do this, they might also be able to learn to read the CDC graphical studies, and conclude that these too are potentially valuable.

It might be a stretch to imagine that Algorithms could be mastered; they are not closely related to either Al Gore or to Logarithms.


UIDP at Caltech

The conference opened yesterday, and I had the privilege of delivering the keynote speech, following Babu dasGupta, program director from NSF's Cooperative Research Center.  150+ stalwart folk filled the Beckman Institute auditorium, hours before the huge Beckman Auditorium (the building next door) hosted Stephen Hawking, arguably one of the most insightful scientists of this (or the last) century.   This all coincided with NASA's discovery of the collapsing super-star some seven billion light years away, accounting for untold amounts and length of detection of gamma ray bombardment.

There is also a Beckman Center on campus, the 'old' eight-story library smack-dab in the center.  Beckman, who lived to 104 years old, was a "big deal" on this campus.  More re him is a future blog.

It is easy to feel small when you come to Caltech, whether measured by the quality and demonstrable "smarts" of the surrounding people, or the stupendous things they do, or in this case, the magnitude of any of our individual or even collective human accomplishments alongside the eons of cosmic history that they routinely study and discover.

UIDP is an initiative of the National Academy, aimed at helping industry researchers to collaborate with faculty at research universities on important quests.   Babu, for example, outlined eight Centers, including Biophotonics Sensor work, Intelligent Maintenance concept, and Manufacturing Processes research -- work that is led by a university and several spnsoring companies, all done in pre-competitive "shared IP" mode.  Lots of questions about 'how to do it' emerged from his talk.

Jack Wenstrand of Agilent, Deborah Radasch of Boeing, Melissa Fitzgerald of Pfizer, and Hwasu Lee of Samsung each shared information about how their company participates with universities.  Daunting, much like the story I got to know so well about IBM through Jim Spohrer.  Boeing for example supports 147 universities through Deborah's office as director of strategic universities for Boeing research and development.

Agilent, once again a pure play in instrumentation (like HP for three decades), was well outlined by Wenstrand.  I hadn't realized that they just added Health Diagnostics to their panoply of Life Sciences instrumentation.  This is a solid company, one that I have known well, but as Greg Peters of Agilent Santa Rosa says, needs to tell its story better.  Wenstrand and I talked later about some of these issues.  Wenstrand started at HP in 1991, just as I was leaving, and went to Agilent in the '99 divestiture.

Karina Edmonds is just rejoining Caltech, to work with Wayne Johnson in Corporate Univeristy Affairs after a three year stint in Washington DC working for Steven Chu who was head of Energy for Obama's administration.  What a powerhouse lady!  She is one of Arati Prabhaker's friends, a PhD from Caltech ('97) in Aeronautical Engineering.  Asked about how many women were at Caltech at the time (while a hapless colleague said proudly "we're now up to 37% of the student body"), she turned a baleful eye on him and said, "well, I was the only person of color, but also the only woman, in my department (Aero) at the time.  Two other women started, but dropped out."  So there!

A noshing reception in the evening featured Mory Gharib, Caltech's Vice Provost, wandering by to ask about a slide I used which depicts his research.  We preened for a picture; I hope they send me one.  He shared the news that Caltech's president, Jean Luc Chameau is leaving to head up the new King Abdullah Saudi university at Chameau's wife's insistence.  Big news to me -- Chameau has been a breath of fresh air at Caltech.  Mory said that the task of raising funds depressed him, since CIT has such a small alumni group.  He did it well, leaving the school with $1.1b in endowment, but he also was approachable, something that had eluded the past several presidents.  DuBridge, harking back to "my day" was also approachable, well-liked as is Chameau.  They'll be tough shoes to fill.

As for my talk, it seemed to be well received.  It wasn't taped or filmed, which might be just as well since it was a bit of a rollicking romp across the landscape.  Someone said I must be a standup comedian in another life -- I hope that some of the 'tough message' came through, though.  I might post the slides on the InnovaScapes website.  Wayne Johnson, my host, said he might do it on the UIDP site

Saturday, April 13, 2013

youth will be served COFES

COFES thrives by having 'friends and family' attend.  A goodly portion of the attendees seem to have come year-after-year.  I've talked with a half dozen for whom it is their first time, but most have been four to ten times in the fourteen years.   It is my third time in five years, invited each time as a speaker so maybe that doesn't count, but I've seldom gone to anything (even SIGGRAPH years ago) any more frequently.  The :"upside" of this is that friendships are renewed, new ideas circulate amongst trusted colleagues, and new partnerships happen almost spontaneously.

The downside, from my view, is that the conference doesn't have enough young people.  It resembles a DeSoto owner's club in 1950 (or maybe Hudson).  An aging community, a little bitter that it hasn't played out quite like it could have -- after all, this is the backbone of damn near everything designed around the globe in the past thirty years, whether it be better electronic chips, systems, buildings, cars, planes, or infrastructure, not to mention the software that makes all sorts of things we take for granted work.  Four percent growth per year in revenue, diminishing profit margins, "no respect" as Rodney Dangerfield would have said.

Holtz is aware of this concern, and he has put great effort into soliciting interns.  Fresh-faced, enthusiastic local college kids from Arizona State enlivened severral sessions, plus the lunchtime and dinnertime tables.  But the best happened at the Maieutic Parataxis, in the late afternoon.  I didn't know either word.

Maieutic means "the midwifery of knowledge" -- don't know how I've missed that one all these years!

Parataxis means "the juxtaposition of ideas, without connection or conjunction".  Again, a word I should know, mostly a word my wife Jenny would say characterizes my own conversations and even my blog posts.

So, nine speakers, each for a "lightning round" of five minutes, held forth on their own favorite topic.  Most were in their early twenties; the excitement for several was wild.  One presented a computerized way to make clothing with ZERO excess material, using a smart phone and 3D software to build a form, and 'weaving software" to make the garment.  He ordered a suit on Tuesday from Indai, is wearing it today.  Today, some 40% of mail-order garments are returned, more than half because they don't fit.  And on average, fabric wastage of 30% occurs in all clothing manufacture.  Great new app!

Another, from a new company StreetLightData led by co-founder CEO Laura Schewel,  focuses on "Data Exhaust" which is not Data Mining and not Business Analytics, but rather "using data created for something else in a new way since it has already 'been exhausted' for the original purpose"   I think the point is that this 'exhausted data' is relatively cheap to obtain, and hence can provide high residual value for her clients.  I started imagining how useful this could be for InnovaScapes, such as the COPD work.

Nell Watson with Poikos engaged the group around some provocative thoughts re health care; Elizabeth of ScienceExchange had some great ideas for how to crowd-source 'citizen science'.

I came away thinking that, as in sports, politics, and all forms of business, the future is with the kids.
COFES will do well to encourage more of these youngsters.  I just have to adjust my vision and my hearing aids, plus get my walking stick going, to keep up.  What a great challenge.

Structured conversations COFES

The weather is more-or-less perfect in April here in Scottsdale, Arizona -- balmy especially compared to where most folk come from, and it invites open-air impromptu meetings everywhere.

Brad Holtz, the ogranizer, has done this now for fourteen years, and it is obvious he's honed the event to a high degree.  The first day is organized around "conversations" -- definitely NOT "pitches"-- both from 'vendors' who are remarkably open and candid, and analysts who offer 'behind-the-scenes' views

Five separate 45 minute 'groupings" are staged, each of them with anywhere from five to eight parallel sessions in first-floor cabana-type rooms at the Scottsdale Plaza hotel.   The overall theme this year is Resilient Systems, which puts a nice twist on the classic Design Tools view.

Two Santa Fe Institute folk, Dave Ackley and Chris Wood, held forth on deep questions about brain wiring and the 'end of conventional computing' if you take this resiliency idea very far.  Both sessions were stimulating and provocative, certainly not aimed at moving more HP or Siemens or Intel gear.

An ex-HP exec, Chris Smith, at Cloud Pragmatics, outlined in considerable detail what it means to "trust the cloud" along with where and when it is appropriate, but as importantly, when it is not so.  Trusting your most valuable data to a cloud data-center is a profound hurdle for most folk; the degree to which vendors have had to offer sweeteners and 'protective terms' was fascinating to hear.  For the most part, current data-centers are built for financial traansaction computation, not 3-D rotational graphics (shades of the perpetual 'scientific' vs. commercial apps wars in architecture).  A noteworthy point was made about how Intel and AMD missed the "heat, light, and sound" issue of Freshman Physics as I termed it -- Smith pointing out that he always had plenty of building space in HP data-centers, but as more powerful chips came out (6-way instead of 4-way, faster instead of slower), that the heat consumption of the devices and the memory bus throughput disabled his ability to take advantage of it.   One hundred forty watts per computer chip multiplied by 1,800 machines is a quarter megawatt.   He felt that the Atom chip from ARM "understood" in a way that the bandwidth-intensive leading chip makers missed -- this is the basis behind HP's new "revolutionary" Moonshot program, for example.

The way these 'conversations' work is that Smith, for example, would state a 'finding' from his experience, something that was a bit 'edgy' for the crowd, and then he'd ask "who else has experience in this?" and three or four people would share their perspective.  It was very engaging, and quite thought-provoking, not to mention drawing out some new insights for everyone.

Dean Keith and a marketing sidekick, Jim Brown, attended for the first time, from Datura Systems, a nascent start-up in Michigan devoted to a semantic relational vision for unstructured data.  Each got a 'conversation time' and they made good use of it.  They got two significant nibbles of companies willing to prototype big data sets with them.  Make no mistake -- the conference is about finding 'partners' and 'making deals'.  As Brown said on the busride to dinner, "My Gawd, you don't have to spend time describing WHY this approach has value; you just have to answer how you do it.  How refreshing to find knowledgeable people in decision-making roles!"

Karsten Newbury, Sr VP of Mainstream Eng'g for  Siemens in Dallas, affirmed that view at dinner.  He's come (again) because he finds the 'networking' with attendees so valuable.  He skips most of the 'conversations' although he facilitated one capably -- preferring to 'meet and dive deeply' with fellow attendees.

Jay Vleeschhouwer, of Griffin Securities, used his 'conversation' time to share perspective on the business fortunes of various EDA and AEC companies, as well as ask the attendees for their G-2.  My net take-away -- this entire sector is "stuck" in a very low growth mode, just now catching back up to 2007 revenue levels, with eroding profits by and large.  He recommended exactly ONE public company stock as a BUY -- AutoDesk -- and the numbers for them were not compelling for me.  I did agree with his take on the others.

How did the day affect the workshop we'll do on Sunday?  Well, for starters, we're focused on how to "renew" a company via empowering your "entrepreneurs".  This is an industry in need of "renewal", at least from the cursory view I garnered yesterday.  Get creative, Charlie -- here's an opportunity.

Friday, April 12, 2013

COFES day 1

Zander Rose launched the conference with an impressive discussion and photos of the Clock of the Long Now.  I've known Danny Hillis and Stewart Brand for forty years or so, and known of this great project for fifteen or more years.  I've even 'fondled' the 'camshaft' designed to handle the peregrinations of the sun during its annual semi-ellipic orbit arount the earth (or maybe it is the other way around).  Nonetheless, I had NO IDEA how complex and sophisticated this project really has turned out to be.

I called Jenny to say, this was one of the ten most inspiring talks I've heard in my life.  Some impertinent person asked me, "What were the others?"   I stammered, but did manage to say that hearing Fred Hoyle talk at Caltech about the Big Bang when I was thirteen, and John Lilly the same year about conversations with porpoises made the list.  Richard Feynman's first Freshman Physics lecture comes to mind, the week after Professor Watson had a heart attack.  And probably Murray Gell-Mann's closing talk at ACM '01 in the San Jose Convention Center, talking about the value of, plus the difficulty of , cross-disciplinary research for the world's most pressing problems.

How about you?  Can you name the most inspiring three talks you've ever heard?

The day had plenty of highlights, which I'll tackle in another post.  But I will close this one by noting that we all went to a special place east of Scottsdale, the La Cuesta del Sol (I think), where local viands and libations were followed by peering through two telescopes, one trained on the New Moon and the other on Saturn, replete with its rings.  One had to reflect on Galileo's spectacular finding a half millennium ago, and the impact his discovery had on world views.  Fitting to end the day this way...

website emerges

I've avoided putting up a website for InnovaScapes Institute for awhile now, but thanks to Bill Daul's enthusiasm, decided to move ahead.  A tentative start to be sure, but try innovascapes.net and see what happens.  Should be at least a masthead and a couple of pictures, maybe even a statement about goals.

The goals at the moment talk heavily to our MISSION regarding INTRAPRENEURING, or maybe stated more fairly, to helping larger companies overcome their natural tendency to quit innovating.

The Institute is broader than this topic, but this one isn't bad for importance or impact.

I'm down at COFES this week in Scottsdale, where the difficulties of running a CAE company are obvious.  Design is being outsourced all over America.  Tragic.  Fits my lament of yesterday re the Business School fixation in this country instead of the Engineering Creativity that used to drive things.

The COFES team asked me to conduct a Sunday workshop around my new book PERMISSION DENIED.  That book has been described on my Intrapreneuring blog (see intrapreneuringinnovation.blogspot.com ), but might be worth mentioning here as well:

"PERMISSION DENIED: Odyssey of an Intrapreeneur" is a memoir of ten years at HP developing the Logic Analyzer business.  Early on, I was tapped by Gifford Pinchot in his ground-breaking book, Intrapreneuring, as a quintessential Intrapreneur.  That led to some notoriety -- on the Today Show, in the New York Times, a cover story in Business Week, etc. -- but the story in Pinchot's books was my first brush with Intrapreneuring.  Reflecting on it years later led me to realize that it only scratched the surface.  The next decade was educational -- to say the least -- about the tougher questions.  Musing about those, and writing about them in this new book, led me to describe two sets of rules -- sever rules for erstwhile entrepreneurs, and seven more for their managers.  These rules are worth consideration.

The rules are the last two succinct chapters.  The book, a mere 236 pp compared to the 656 pp book about HP, will be available from Amazon, searchable by Google, within eight weeks.  List price $17.95.

A better (and quicker) way is via LuluPress, available today at 15% discount (plus any coupons, which can often be another 20-30%), at the following:
http://www.lulu.com/shop/charles-h-house/permission-denied/paperback/product-20948639.html;jsessionid=B0C5C3DB9190216C9217EC70FB88DB45

If you buy it, read it.  And let me know your thoughts!

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Moving the Goal Posts midway through the game

Twenty-eight years ago, I was HP's representative on the Public Policy Advisory Board for the University of California at Davis program on Public Policy and Administration.  This program had been underway for some years, and since HP had a presence in the Sacramento Valley with our Roseville Division, and I was the Corporate Engineering Director, the Davis folk thought they'd be able to 'sell' their graduates easier to HP if we sat on this board.

It was in part an august body.  Clark Kerr and Roger Heyns, both ex-Presidents of the entire University of California system, were in the twelve person group.  So were bankers and realtors from Sacramento.

Partway into the meeting, someone from town piped up to say, "This program doesn't have many students; if we'd make it a Business School, we'd double enrollments."  Others said,,"Yeah, verily, and we could send our own kids here, and hire them later, instead of sending 'em 'all the way to Berkeley'."

A groundswell emerged, until Clark Kerr stood up and said, "Let me remind you how the U C system was constructed.  The junior colleges, the state colleges and the undergraduate U C university campuses are all designed with broad programs so that all of California's students can have access, even if living at home.  But the graduate program is designed for excellence.  We want every graduate program to be one of the ten best in the country, and that can only happen if we restrict our own programs to one or two for each discipline within the ten campus system (now fourteen).  So, there are two great physics programs -- one at Berkeley and one at San Diego.  There are two great Business Schools, one at Berkeley and one at UCLA.  There are great biotech departments ar San Diego and at UC Irvine.  And here at Davis, we have one of the top three departments in the nation for oenology (wine making), veterinary school, and public policy.  The reason we are tied with Harvard and Columbia for Public Policy, only slightly behind Brookings, is that we are fifteen miles from the sixth largest government in the world, and the largest government in the world that isn't bothered by sovereign issues (like maintaining an army, and issuing currency).  This is a wonderfully unique asset.  If we make it a Business School, we'll be the 114th such school in America, and it will be twenty years to make the top Fifty.  We'll never make the Top Ten.  But in Public Policy, Davis is #2, and Berkeley is #8.  No one can never catch you."

I looked around the room.  Some folk were looking at their shoes with dedication; others had their arms folded, and a few seemed to have glazed eyeballs.  Finally, someone muttered, "Hummn.  Hadn't thought about it that way."  The motion died.

In the restroom later, someone came up to me and said, "He sure is a wise old man.  Wow, was that impressive!"

Three months later, I missed the next meeting, as did Kerr.  Minutes came out a few weeks later, noting that the motion to rename the school a Business School passed with a strong majority.

Rankings for UC Davis today -- 40th in the nation, gleefully reported on their website as in the TOP 9% of America's 440 MBA programs.  They were 54th after twenty years.

Ranking for Public Policy at Berkeley is #1, ahead of Harvard's Kennedy School.  Davis is unranked in the Top Forty.

Davis is #2, behind Cornell, in both Vet and Wine Making.  How the hell can upstate New York have better wine research than Davis?  And, oh by the way, no university has seen fit to specialize in State rather than National public policy.  Yes, Californai has fewer people than Germany, England, France, or Italy, but it has four times as much Venture Capital investment money as all four of those countries put together, and more start-ups than all put together, and more Gross "National" exports than all but Germany (viva those big Mercedes, BMWs, and Audis).

And California, by the way, has the most usurious property tax structure of any state in America, unmatched by any country I am aware of -- giving enormous benefit to yesteryear's winners and penalizing today's newcomers. -- with the indefensible Proposition 13, which by the way gutted entirely the program that Kerr espoused about 'free education' for California youth.

Would this have been worth having an independent research group study, comment, and illumine?

We are all losers with this tragic decision by a few short-sighted realtors and bankers.  Whew, where did that vent come from?

Wednesday, April 3, 2013

National Academy committee

The UIDP mentioned earlier re the Caltech day on April 16 is actually a group commissioned by the National Academy of Engineering through the GUIRR (howze that for a great acronym?).  GUIRR stands for Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable.  For their website, see http://sites.nationalacademies.org/pga/uidp/index.htm, where it shows the agenda for the next general meeting, the one at Caltech, for April 16-18.  Great companies -- Boeing, Agilent, Intel, Pfizer, Monsanto, Samsung, Wellspring, Elsevier, Dow, Deere -- all pretty wellknown names, plus some newer ones, along with some great university folk and of course NSF and NAE participants.

One privilege for InnovaScapes Institute is that our book, The HP Phenomenon: Innovation and Business Transformation, will be distributed to all attendees.  This book, virtually unheralded at publication (Stanford University Press doesn't exactly tout their books, ala the Harvard Business Press), got a very nice review in IEEE Annals this past spring by Jeffrey Yost (Babbage Institute):


"A terrific achievement and major contribution to the history of computing literature; the book is among the most deeply researched, well-articulated, and interpretive sound books on an IT company I've read…”
— Jeffrey Yost, Charles Babbage Institute Associate Director and IEEE Annals editor

We also got a great independent review as follows:
“The book is alive with countless intimate details of internal conflicts and their resolutions, which lead to important direction shifts.  It also provides an insight into the management style that assured the cooperation of all employees of the company during the transition phases."
— Midwest Book Review

See either Amazon or www.sup.org/book.cgi?id=9023 

Challenge to America's workforce

The biggest surprise for me at the I4J conference was a budding consensus for the contrarian view that innovation doesn't mean more jobs.  Voiced sub rosa in the opening moments, it became a bit of a groundswell as people discovered like-minded attendees.

You've seen this countless times -- someone holds, quietly, a view that they know is orthogonal to the mainstream, and they really don't voice it, they just whisper it to a 'trusted' colleague in a surreptitious manner.  But then the colleague says, "you know, I think so too, and so does XXX".  Hummn, and XXX is across the room.

The next thing you know, XXX is accosted, and the two grin a few minutes later.  Then, one of the three takes a moment in a Q and A session to 'toss out an idea' -- and voila, a new mood sweeps through the room.

So it happened here.  I can't name XXX or YYY, because of those Chatham House rules.  But old hands in the room, and there were quite a few, nodded knowingly, some even saying that this was the Automation Fear of the fifties that gave rise to the Beatniks.  One might demur that this is a bit far-fetched, but certainly the spector of computers replacing us has been around.

Herb Simon gave a fabulous talk in San Francisco in the late 1970s as a follow-up to his 1965 book, The Shape of Automation for Men and Management.  His point was that professors were more apt to be automated out of a job than bulldozer drivers, a point that did not sit well with the audience.

But the conversation topic wouldn't go away at I4J.  And by the end, there was considerable pessimism about the bifurcation of America, with the middle class continuing to be eroded badly, much as the last decade as done.  The booklet cited by a couple of people, which I found both edifying and a bit obtuse, was the monograph from the Communications and Society Program at the Aspen Institute, "Power-curve Society: the Future of Innovation, Opportunity, and Social Equity in the Emerging Networked Economy" published in Feb 2013.

John Gray and Fernando Flores wrote a small (48 pp) challenging book in 2000, "Entrepreneurship and the Wired Life: Work in the Wake of Career" that is available on-line.   See www.demos.co.uk

I followed that with a keynote talk at IHRIM in spring 2001, with the lead paper in the IHRIM Journal, Volume 5, #2, April-Jun 2001, pp. 13-24.  IHRIM manages to control their publication so that no one can read it unless you spend $71.50 per year for a membership, which is a little short-sighted, but hey, they probably need the money.  I may search for my copy and put it on the website one of these days.

Gray and Flores found an audience in England, but not the US.  And my talk, to several hundred folk, was considered "too provocative" for Human Resource managers to raise w their CEOs.

And even Andy Grove's prescient and provocative piece in Business Week (July 1, 2010) drew scorn from pundits at Forbes, and surprisingly from Vivek Wadhwa, the provost at Singularity University.  Vivek was at our table at I4J, and on re-reading his Viewpoint rebuttal to Grove's article, I have to say that Vivek is 'on-target'.   The problem with Vivek's espoused view is that it puts too much faith in entrepreneurship, and completely ignores the point about intrapreneurship, which in my view has been driven out of American companies by Harvard Business School teachings and Wall Street quarterly-results focus.

So, one could be pessimistic, or maybe, as I am, optimistic because now the elephant in the room is finally being exposed.  We've got a better chance of designing a successful outcome if we're agreed on what the problem is.